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NBS Spotlights Capital Inflows As Banking Sector Drives $5.64bn Q1 2025 Boost Amid Reforms

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Prince Adeyemi Adeniran, Statistician -General of NBS

By Felix Omoh-Asun

 

The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) has unveiled fresh data revealing a robust influx of foreign capital into Nigeria, with total importation hitting $5.64 billion in the first quarter of 2025; a clear indicator of growing investor confidence buoyed by ongoing financial sector reforms.

In its latest ‘Nigeria Capital Importation Q1 2025’ report, released earlier this month, the NBS underscores how the banking industry emerged as the frontrunner, capturing over half of the inflows and signaling resilience in the face of economic headwinds.

This quarterly snapshot, compiled from data sourced from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and verified through banking records, paints a picture of an economy on the mend. “In Q1 2025, total capital importation into Nigeria stood at US$5642.07 million, higher than US$3376.01 million recorded in Q1 2024, indicating an increase of 67.12 percent,” the NBS report states. Compared to the preceding quarter, inflows rose by 10.86 percent from $5.08 billion in Q4 2024, marking a steady upward trajectory that NBS analysts attribute to strategic policy shifts enhancing Nigeria’s appeal to global investors.

At the heart of this resurgence is the banking sector, which NBS data show absorbed $3.1 billion, or 55.44 percent of the total, highlighting its role as a stable gateway for foreign funds. The finance sector followed closely with $2.09 billion (37.18 percent), while production and manufacturing trailed at $129.92 million (2.30 percent).

This distribution highlights a preference for financial instruments over direct industrial investments, with portfolio investments dominating at $5.2 billion (92.25 percent of the total). Other investments accounted for $311.17 million (5.52 percent), and foreign direct investment (FDI) lagged at $126.29 million (2.24 percent), reflecting cautious long-term commitments amid lingering economic uncertainties.

Geographically, the United Kingdom emerged as the primary source, channeling $3.68 billion (65.26 percent) into Nigeria, followed by contributions from the Netherlands and South Africa. Lagos State remained the top destination, attracting $4.37 billion (77.55 percent), with Abuja securing $1.17 billion (20.71 percent). These figures, meticulously tracked by the NBS through instruments like equity shares, money market tools, and bonds, illustrate a concentrated flow toward urban financial hubs.

From the NBS vantage point, this data surge is no coincidence but a direct outcome of deliberate reforms spearheaded by the CBN under Governor Yemi Cardoso. Since taking the helm in October 2023, Cardoso’s focus has prioritized exchange rate unification, cleared a $7 billion foreign exchange backlog, and reduced market interventions- moves that have stabilized the naira and lowered sovereign risk spreads to pre-pandemic levels.

The World Bank has lauded these as “bold interventions” fostering long-term sustainability, while NBS metrics confirm their impact: Capital inflows have not only rebounded but diversified, with banks serving as a buffer against forex volatility and a conduit for broader economic activity.

The NBS report also flags areas for caution. The heavy reliance on portfolio investments, often short-term and volatile, contrasts with subdued FDI, suggesting investors are hedging bets rather than committing deeply. To sustain this momentum, the bureau’s data implies a need for continued policy consistency, including further forex liberalization and incentives for real-sector investments.

As Nigeria navigates a post-reform landscape, the NBS’s Q1 2025 insights serve as a barometer of progress, affirming that CBN’s strategies are yielding tangible gains. With inflows climbing steadily, the data not only validates the apex bank’s approach but also positions the economy for potentially stronger quarters ahead, provided reforms remain on track.

 

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